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Phillips O'Brien on Thoughtfluence
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Phillips O'Brien
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St Andrews historian; The Strategist newsletter on Ukraine and grand strategy.
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Key concepts
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war length outlasts ferocity
decline of american hegemony
us strategic analytical failure
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Posts from their own channels.
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Phillips O'Brien
7d
This Is About Much More Than Just Diesel
What Really Matters From The Last Few Hours
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Phillips O'Brien
8d
This Is What The End Of An “Age” Looks Like
And The US Cannot Admit It
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Phillips O'Brien
10d
Midweek Update #30: Trump Has Lost His Political Touch
The US Pulls Back Its Bombers: More Winning, Obviously; Hegseth’s Frightening Speech
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Phillips O'Brien
12d
The Key Point Being Overlooked
The Russian escalation talk proves one key thing
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Phillips O'Brien
13d
Weekend Update #205: Russia’s Strategy In Two Words: “War Crimes”
Operation Vivaldi, Even More Robots; The Trump-Putin Quid Pro Quo
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Phillips O'Brien
15d
Divide And Rule: The US Strategy Towards Europe
And Why It Could Work
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Phillips O'Brien
17d
Midweek Update #29: The American Distance Blockade: Establishing The Best Possible Terms For US Withdrawal
The Xi-Trump Summit, Keeping The US Fat, Weak And Consuming; Taiwan Should Be Nervous
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Phillips O'Brien
19d
How Might The War End?
Leadership Choices and Possibilities
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Phillips O'Brien
20d
Second Try At: Weekend Update #204: An Army Of Robots
Russia’s Most Effective Campaign; The Trump Rehabilitation Campaign Continues
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Phillips O'Brien
20d
Weekend Update #204: An Army Of Robots
Russia’s Most Effective Campaign; The Trump Rehabilitation Campaign Continues
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Phillips O'Brien
21d
Live with Phillips P. OBrien and Kate Leschyshyn
A recording from Phillips P. OBrien's live video
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Phillips O'Brien
22d
It’s Not That Xi Insults Trump Once...
It’s that the Chinese are actively destroying the US global position while the US president bows and scrapes
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Phillips O'Brien
24d
Midweek Update #29: The Week American Weakness Was Brutally Exposed
The US is too weak to fight the Houthis and Iran; The US has never been weaker vis a vis China; The New Greenland Deal Is Basically The Old Deal.
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Phillips O'Brien
26d
The Ukrainians Bomb Moscow With Intent
What Is Important About This Operation
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Phillips O'Brien
27d
Weekend Update #203: A Week Which Demonstrated Why Trump Is So Helpful To Russia
Operation Vivaldi; Russia Batters Ukraine At Range; Trump, Diesel And Ukrainian Energy Strikes.
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Phillips O'Brien
28d
Live with Phillips P. OBrien: AMA For Subscribers
A recording from Phillips P. OBrien's live video
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Phillips O'Brien
29d
A Lack Of Honesty Is The Ultimate Killer
There Is No Coming Back As Long As The US Continues To Lie To Itself
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Phillips O'Brien
1mo
Midweek Update #28: The End Of The American Age: The US In Retreat Militarily, Diplomatically And With The Markets
Hi All,
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Phillips O'Brien
1mo
Why Buying Weapons Is So Dangerous
A Saudi Case Study
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Phillips O'Brien
1mo
Weekend Update #202: Zelensky Tweets The War
The War Is Getting More Brutal Now; Ukraine Showing Greater Adaptability In The Land War; Is Zelensky Fooling Himself About The USA?
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Phillips O'Brien
1mo
The Unravelling Of The American Age Is Accelerating
What Has Happened In The Last Days Is Ominous
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Phillips O'Brien
1mo
Midweek Update #27: When Will The US Run Out Of Patriot Interceptors?
More And More This Looks Like The End Of An Era; China And Russia Must Be Loving This
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Phillips O'Brien
1mo
Graham-Blumenthal Is Part Of The Con
Why I Would Still Vote For It; Quick Update on Kushner/Witkoff Getting Putin A “Win”.
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Phillips O'Brien
1mo
Weekend Update #201: It Will Be A Brutal Fall and Winter
Trump Speaks His Truth About Russia And Ukraine: Drapatyi’s Principles
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Phillips O'Brien
1mo
A Grand Strategy for Europe
Part I: Stop Listening To The Washington Voice
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Phillips O'Brien
1mo
Midweek Update #26: The USA Sanctions A Few Branches Of Egypt’s Second Largest Bank!
Also: US Failure To Understand War Reaches A Crisis Stage; Understanding The Price Of Oil
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Phillips O'Brien
1mo
The Cleansing Can Start With Venezuela
This Latest Deal Has No Long-Term Legal Standing And Provides An Opening To Fight Corruption
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Phillips O'Brien
1mo
Weekend Update #200: Summer Is Ending, The Russian Offensive Is A Failure So Far
Why Fuel Attacks Need To Be Prioritized, An Update;
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Phillips O'Brien
1mo
The Ratcliffe Visit To Moscow: A Case Study Of White House Press Manipulation
Weakness Repackaged As Strength
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Phillips O'Brien
1mo
Midweek Update#25: Sanctions Without China Are A Sign Of Defeat
So, It Turns Out That The US Is Winning!; A Story Illustrating Why This Pentagon Cannot Be Trusted
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Phillips O'Brien
1mo
Live with Phillips P. OBrien and Bob Rae
A recording from Phillips P. OBrien's live video
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Phillips O'Brien
1mo
Canada Is Right, The USA Cannot Be Trusted
Others Must Act Like
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Phillips O'Brien
1mo
Weekend Update #199: Ukraine’s Campaign Against Russian Oil Infrastructure Should Be The Focus
The Trump Con Comes To Its Natural Conclusion, More Time For Putin: Fedorov Calls For Ukrainian Elections
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Phillips O'Brien
1mo
The US Does Not Understand Air Power, Does Ukraine?
The Wildberries Campaign And The Fallacy Of Signalling
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Phillips O'Brien
1mo
Midweek Update #24: The USA Is Not A Serious Country
In Strategy And Planning The USA Is A Self-Destructive Mess: Here Is A Short-Term Way To Stop The Bleeding
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Phillips O'Brien
2mo
Is The American Age In The Western Pacific Over As Well?
The Last Few Days Make A Mockery Of US Military Power In This Vital Area
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Phillips O'Brien
2mo
Weekend Update #198: Russia's Allies Are More Helpful Than Ukraine's
Actually, The USA Is Quite A Good Ally For Russia; Ukraine Is Slowly But Steadily Liberating Territory.
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Phillips O'Brien
2mo
Midweek Update #23: Can He Keep It Going Through The Election?
The State Of The US Military Is Pretty Distressing
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Phillips O'Brien
2mo
Replenishing Stocks Will Just Recreate A Failed Military
The US Military Must Be Remade--Not Reconstructed As It Was
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Phillips O'Brien
2mo
Weekend Update #197: Anatomy Of A Con:
The Overreaction In the Press: Ukraine Has Not Gone From Winning To Losing
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Phillips O'Brien
2mo
AI And War Is Being Oversold Right Now
The US and Ukrainian Bombing Campaigns Show How Far It Has To Go
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Phillips O'Brien
2mo
Midweek Update #22: The American Age in the Persian Gulf Is Over
The US is Running Out Of Weapons, Pulling Out Forces, And Losing The Faith Of The Region's States. That Will Not Be Easily Undone
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Phillips O'Brien
2mo
Live with Phillips P. OBrien and Fabian Hoffmann
A recording from Phillips P. OBrien's live video
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Phillips O'Brien
2mo
Do Not Forget That Wars Demand Money
I Doubt The US Can Afford To Escalate And Fight A Long War, Even If It Wanted To
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Phillips O'Brien
2mo
Weekend Update #196: The Week When Hope Killed, Literally
Drapatyi and Fedorov update; Ports/Shipping Update
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Phillips O'Brien
2mo
Is China Going In For The Kill?
Trump Has Left The US More Vulnerable Than It Has Been Since 1861
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Phillips O'Brien
2mo
Live with Phillips P. OBrien and Ivanna Ryzhkova
A recording from Phillips P. OBrien's live video
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Phillips O'Brien
2mo
Midweek Update #21: Iran Is Toying With The USA
Plus: Iranian Strategy; How Does This End?
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Phillips O'Brien
2mo
It Is All One
Because a Racist, Conspiracist, Anti-Democrat, Oppression-Supporting, Trump-Worshipper Takes One Good Position, Does Not Make Her Worthy Of Praise
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Phillips O'Brien
2mo
Weekend Update #195: The Worst Week Becomes Much Better (But Not The Best)
Major General Mykhailo Drapatyi; Wildberries and Azov
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Phillips O'Brien
2mo
Scenarios For Ending The Russo-Ukraine War
How Wars End Is A Different Process Than You Think
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Phillips O'Brien
2mo
Live with Phillips P. OBrien and Shaun Pinner
A recording from Phillips P. OBrien's live video
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Phillips O'Brien
2mo
Midweek Update #20: Each Day The US Weakens Itself
What It Means For US-China Relations
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Phillips O'Brien
2mo
Bravery Does Not Win Wars
Even With Extra Testosterone Supplements
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Phillips O'Brien
3mo
Weekend Update #194: The Worst Week For Ukraine In Years. Can It Become The Best?
An update on Ukraine and Patriots; Moscow and Kyiv
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Phillips O'Brien
3mo
Ask Me Anything
After publication update.
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Phillips O'Brien
3mo
Midweek Update #19: What Do We Know?
Also, Living In A Consequence-Free World Has Consequences, The US Is Finding That Out.
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Phillips O'Brien
3mo
Yes, We Are In A Revolution In Military Affairs
And It is Just Starting and Is Unstoppable
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Phillips O'Brien
3mo
Lindsey Graham On Ukraine and Trump
In His Own Words
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Phillips O'Brien
3mo
Weekend Update #193: What Is Happening In The Sea Of Azov?
Trump Gifts Putin Time; Ukraine Strikes Deep
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Phillips O'Brien
3mo
The Worst NATO Summit In History
And The Proof Is In The Pudding
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Phillips O'Brien
3mo
Live with Phillips P. OBrien and Glenn Kessler
A recording from Phillips P. OBrien and BY GLENN KESSLER's live video
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Phillips O'Brien
3mo
Midweek Update #18: Is It So Bad It's Good?
The Hunt For A Fig Leaf
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Phillips O'Brien
3mo
Is Putin Gearing Up To Slaughter More Russians?
Hello All,
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Phillips O'Brien
3mo
Live with Phillips P. OBrien, Andriy Zagorodnyuk and Edward Stringer
A recording from Phillips P. OBrien's live video
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Phillips O'Brien
3mo
Weekend Update #192: Can Russia Counter?
India Shows The True Fraudulence Of US Sanctions, Two Reports Worth Reading
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Phillips O'Brien
3mo
Can Americans Become Americans Again? A Question for July 4th
Just adding this little note an hour after publication.
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Phillips O'Brien
3mo
Live with Phillips P. OBrien
A recording from Phillips P. OBrien's live video
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Phillips O'Brien
5mo
Midweek Update #10: Little Changes In US-Iran, Potentially Lots With US-China
What Did The Bombing Campaign Accomplish?; Will China Save The US With Iran?
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Phillips O'Brien
5mo
The US Military Is Failing: Facts Need To Be Faced
Updates On The Two Wars First
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Phillips O'Brien
5mo
Weekend Update #184: A Most Revealing Parade
Also: Are We About To See Trump's Greatest Public Humiliation?; Ukrainian Ranged Strike Improves—The Reasons For This Week
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Phillips O'Brien
5mo
Watch Out For Tomorrow
Plans For The Russian Victory Day Parade Has Revealed Many Things And More Might Be About To Happen
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Phillips O'Brien
5mo
Live with Phillips P. OBrien, Mykola Bielieskov and Valeriia Soloviova
A recording from Phillips P. OBrien's live video
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Phillips O'Brien
5mo
Midweek Update #9: One Thing Changes And It Is Not What You Think
Trump Guides And Then Does Not, But Nothing Ever Changed
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Phillips O'Brien
5mo
Taking The "Initiative" In War Might Not Be What You Have Been Told
Also: The US Will "Guide" Vessels In The Strait--What That Might Mean
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Phillips O'Brien
5mo
Weekend Update #183: Ukraine Taking The Initiative?
Long Range and Medium Strike; The Land War; The US Is Now Boasting About Not Helping
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Phillips O'Brien
5mo
The US-Iran War Could Be Over Sooner Than You Think
There really is only one victory condition left
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Phillips O'Brien
5mo
Midweek Update #8: Two Races Against Time
The Iranian Race, The US Race; The Three Narratives
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Phillips O'Brien
5mo
Trump Blinked
What It Could Mean
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Phillips O'Brien
5mo
Weekend Update #182: A Beautiful Friendship: Europe And Ukraine Are Getting Their Act Together
A Revealing Week In the Air War; The Machine War, More Ukrainian Thoughts
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Phillips O'Brien
5mo
Midweek Update #7: The Most Corrupt War In US History
Trump Is Passing The Initiative To Iran; Oil Markets, Watch Out If They Lose Their Optimism
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Phillips O'Brien
6mo
What Does War Is "Too Easy" For The USA Mean?
Phillips’s Newsletter is a reader-supported publication.
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Phillips O'Brien
6mo
Weekend Update #181; Germany Raises The Pot For Ukraine
The USA Boasts, Bluffs And Then Folds; More On Ukraine Fighting Humans With Machines
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Phillips O'Brien
6mo
The USA Does Not Understand War
Ukraine Taking A Position With Machines Not Soldiers Makes That Clearer Than Ever
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Phillips O'Brien
6mo
Midweek Update #6: The Blockade: Fact And Fiction
There Can Only Be One; Do Not Pretend This Has Been “Precise” Or “Surgical”
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